Fewer Japanese firms in Vietnam expect 2023 profits

The number of Japanese firms in Vietnam expecting to make a profit this year has fallen 5.2 percent year-on-year to 54.35%, according to a Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) report.

The number of Japanese firms in Vietnam expecting to make a profit this year has fallen 5.2 percent year-on-year to 54.35%, according to a Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) report.

The global report released Monday presents the results of a survey of 14,018 Japanese firms with foreign investments, including 2,122 in Vietnam.

The 54.35% ratio is equivalent to 2021, the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic, the report says. In 2017-2019, the percentage of businesses expecting to make a profit was above 65%, higher than the ASEAN average.

The survey found that 21.2% of the respondents in Vietnam expected neutral outcomes and 24.4% expected losses this year.

Previewing 2024, 50.4% of surveyed firms expect the business performance would improve in 2024, 41.3% with unchanged outcomes, and 8.3% with worse outcomes.

Reviewing 2023, only 32% noted better performances, 32.3% with consistent results, and 35.7% with worse results.

Regarding sectors, 91.7% of entertainment-tourism firms expect better profits in 2024, the highest figures; followed by machinery-transportation with 75%; food with 72%; healthcare-education with 66.7%; and retail with 66.7%.

Popular reasons for worse performances are lower demand in export markets, lower demand in the domestic market, and competitiions with others in the sectors.

Aeon Mall Tan Phu in Ho Chi Minh City. Photo courtesy of Aeon Vietnam.

The survey also found 50.4% of surveyed firms expecting an improved business performance next year, 41.3% expecting unchanged outcomes, and 8.3% expecting to do worse.

In reviewing 2023, only 32% noted better performances, 32.3% recorded unchanged results, and 35.7% said they fared worse.

By sector, 91.7% of entertainment-tourism firms expected better profits in 2024, the highest figure; followed by machinery-transportation with 75%; food with 72%; healthcare-education with 66.7%; and retail with 66.7%.