Vietnam economic indicators show stronger momentum: IMF

By Tuong Thuy
Wed, July 6, 2022 | 9:15 am GMT+7

A post-pandemic recovery is underway in Vietnam and high-frequency indicators point to stronger momentum going into 2022, with rising retail sales, industrial production, and firm entry, says the International Monetary Fund.

Growth is expected to reach 6% in 2022 as activity normalisation continues and the country's Program for Recovery and Development (PRD) is implemented, according to a conclusion the institution’s executive board issued in Washington Tuesday after their latest consultation with Vietnam.

“While inflation has recently picked up, due to rising commodity prices and supply-chain disruptions, it remains well below the central bank’s inflation ceiling, given economic slack and relatively stable food and administered prices.”

 A corner of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam’s largest economic hub, by night. Photo courtesy of Vingroup.

A corner of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam’s largest economic hub, by night. Photo courtesy of Vingroup.

The conclusion added, “Fiscal policy is expected to remain supportive, especially via the deployment of the PRD. Monetary policy is expected to remain vigilant to inflationary risks. Risks associated with problem loans, real estate, and corporate bond markets should be closely monitored, and macroprudential frameworks strengthened.”

IMF directors commended Vietnamese authorities for adopting policies to cushion the impact of the pandemic while successfully maintaining fiscal, external, and financial stability, as well as for the impressive vaccination rollout.

However, Vietnam’s strong economic recovery remains "uneven, with the labor market lagging, rising financial sector vulnerabilities, and longstanding structural challenges". Noting that risks are to the downside, they called for agile policymaking, proactively adjusted to the pace of the recovery and evolution of risks.

The directors underscored the need for fiscal policy to take the lead and be flexibly adjusted to evolving economic conditions. They suggested a gradual fiscal adjustment when the recovery becomes more entrenched, with the focus on revenue mobilization to create space for spending on social, climate, and other development objectives.

Vietnam posted GDP growth of 7.72% in the second quarter of this year, driven by strong export growth; and the first half’s expansion was 6.42%, higher than the 5.1-5.7% target.

Growth higher than pre-pandemic levels was recorded in sectors like processing, manufacturing, goods retail, consumer services, and exports. CPI in the first six months rose 2.44% on average against the same period last year.

Vietnam licensed 76,233 new firms and recorded 40,667 rejoining the market in the first half of the year, or 116,900 in total, a record high.

It aimed to achieve economic expansion of 7% this year, higher than the previously-set target of 6-6.5%, Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung told a government meeting last Monday.

The World Bank on June 7 raised Vietnam’s GDP prediction this year to 5.8% from 5.3% in its April forecast. Credit rating agency S&P Global Ratings in late May revised up the country’s long-term sovereign credit rating to BB+, a "stable" outlook.

Comments (0)
  • Read More
Vietnam’s steel giant Hoa Sen spends $34 mln on land near Long Thanh airport for urban development

Vietnam’s steel giant Hoa Sen spends $34 mln on land near Long Thanh airport for urban development

Hoa Sen Group (HoSE: HSG), Vietnam’s top producer of coated steel products, has spent VND900 billion ($34.3 million) acquiring land for a major urban development project in the southern province of Dong Nai.

Real Estate - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 8:22 am GMT+7

Halal market presents major opportunities for Vietnamese businesses

Halal market presents major opportunities for Vietnamese businesses

The global Halal market is projected to reach $5 trillion by 2030, with Malaysia alone expected to hit $113.2 billion, said Shariza binti Abdul Rasheed, Halal product manager at Maybank Malaysia.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 9:18 pm GMT+7

Steel major Hoa Phat to pour extra $130 mln into central Vietnam plant

Steel major Hoa Phat to pour extra $130 mln into central Vietnam plant

Vietnam’s leading steelmaker, Hoa Phat Group (HoSE: HPG), will increase investment in its Dung Quat 2 iron and steel production complex by VND3.4 trillion ($129.7 million) as part of an expansion plan.

Industries - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 8:03 pm GMT+7

Vietnam’s army-backed construction firm proposes 14 offshore wind power projects

Vietnam’s army-backed construction firm proposes 14 offshore wind power projects

Lung Lo Construction Corporation (LLC), under the Ministry of National Defense, has submitted investment proposals for 14 offshore wind power projects with a combined capacity of 9,000 MW.

Energy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 5:07 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai fined for bond information disclosure failure

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai fined for bond information disclosure failure

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai JSC has been fined VND92.5 million ($3,528) for failing to disclose bond-related information as required by law.

Companies - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 4:31 pm GMT+7

Northern Vietnam province accelerates $2.2 bln LNG-to-power project

Northern Vietnam province accelerates $2.2 bln LNG-to-power project

Quang Ninh province will hand over 4.9 hectares of reclaimed land to the Quang Ninh LNG-fuelled power plant project before August 11, local authorities stated at a meeting on Wednesday.

Energy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 4:17 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's seafood firms ride profit wave ahead of US tariff hike

Vietnam's seafood firms ride profit wave ahead of US tariff hike

Vietnam’s seafood companies reported surging profits in Q2/2025, driven by importers ramping up purchases ahead of new U.S. reciprocal tariffs.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 2:21 pm GMT+7

Le Anh Tuan appointed new CEO of Dragon Capital Vietfund Management JSC

Le Anh Tuan appointed new CEO of Dragon Capital Vietfund Management JSC

Dragon Capital Group, Vietnam's largest asset manager, has appointed Le Anh Tuan as CEO of its arm Dragon Capital Vietfund Management Joint Stock Company (DCVFM), starting from October 1, 2025.

Companies - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 2:01 pm GMT+7

Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand expand local currency transaction network

Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand expand local currency transaction network

Bank Indonesia, Bank Negara Malaysia, and Bank of Thailand have added new Appointed Cross Currency Dealer (ACCD) participating banks to broaden services for bilateral transactions in local currencies across the three nations, Bank Indonesia said in a statement on Tuesday.

Southeast Asia - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 12:48 pm GMT+7

ASEAN to sign MoU on regional power grid implementation

ASEAN to sign MoU on regional power grid implementation

ASEAN member states are set to sign an MoU on the implementation of the ASEAN Power Grid during the bloc’s Energy Ministers’ Meeting this October.

Southeast Asia - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 12:43 pm GMT+7

Vietnam overtakes Thailand to become world's second-largest rice exporter

Vietnam overtakes Thailand to become world's second-largest rice exporter

Vietnam has outranked Thailand as the world’s second-largest rice exporter in the first half of 2025, Thai PBS reported on August 3, citing the Thai Rice Exporters Association.

Companies - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 12:41 pm GMT+7

Vietnam posts trade surplus of $10.18 bln in 7 months

Vietnam posts trade surplus of $10.18 bln in 7 months

Vietnam’s export earnings grew by 14.8% to $262.44 billion in the first seven months of this year, while its import turnover rose by 17.9% to $252.26 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of $10.18 billion.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 12:19 pm GMT+7

Malaysia pledges big purchases, investments with US

Malaysia pledges big purchases, investments with US

Malaysia has agreed to buy and invest over $240 billion (MYR1.02 trillion) in the U.S. to help reduce the trade gap between the two countries.

Southeast Asia - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 12:08 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's leading property developer Novaland to issue 152 mln shares to settle $229 mln debt

Vietnam's leading property developer Novaland to issue 152 mln shares to settle $229 mln debt

Novaland, a major real estate developer in Vietnam, plans to issue nearly 152 million new shares to swap more than VND6 trillion ($228.8 million) worth of bond principal.

Companies - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 10:11 am GMT+7

Vietnam's FDI capital disbursement hits five-year record high despite US tariff turmoil

Vietnam's FDI capital disbursement hits five-year record high despite US tariff turmoil

Disbursed foreign direct investment (FDI) capital in Vietnam reached $13.6 billion in Jan-July, up 8.4% year-on-year, despite U.S. tariff concerns.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 9:57 am GMT+7

Malaysia steps up efforts to explore nuclear energy potential

Malaysia steps up efforts to explore nuclear energy potential

Malaysia’s Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation Chang Lih Kang on Wednesday reaffirmed his ministry’s commitment to enhancing cooperation with the Ministry of Energy Transition and Water Transformation (PETRA) in exploring the potential of nuclear energy.

Southeast Asia - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 8:10 am GMT+7