Accelerated public investment can boost Vietnam’s economic growth: WB

By Tri Duc
Fri, May 19, 2023 | 10:48 am GMT+7

Further public investment disbursement can support Vietnam’s aggregate demand and economic growth in the short run, the World Bank said in its May edition of Vietnam Macro Monitoring.

According to the WB, Vietnam's disbursement of public investment increased 16.4% year-on-year in April. As a result, the January-April public investment reached 19% of the whole-year plan of VND707.4 trillion ($30.14 billion).

By end-April, the government had issued VND140 trillion ($5.97 billion) of government bonds, equivalent to 21.7% of the total planned borrowing for 2023.

The WB added that investments in human capital and resilient and green infrastructure can bolster long-term economic development.

A corner of Hanoi. Photo courtesy of the government portal.

A corner of Hanoi. Photo courtesy of the government portal.

Vo Tri Thanh, a well-known economist, told a conference on Vietnam macroeconomy in March that public investment would see major developments this year thanks to authorities’ efforts to draft a comprehensive portfolio of investments.

Another factor is that the National Assembly, the highest legislative body, has updated its investment mechanism, and officials in charge of public investment are now motivated to implement projects on time for fear of reprisals, he noted.

Challenges remain

The WB stressed that potential further tightening of global financial conditions may prompt Vietnam to apply flexible foreign exchange (FX) management to accommodate external conditions.

Vietnam’s economy is facing external headwinds as weakening external demand continues to weigh on exports, leading to weakening industrial production, it pointed out. Besides, domestic consumption remains robust, credit growth slowed, reflecting weak credit demand.

Vietnam’s Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) fell to 46.7 in April from 47.7 in March, indicating continued pessimistic business conditions. Meanwhile, exports and imports of goods dropped 17.1% and 20.5% year-on-year in April, respectively. Such figure demonstrated the weakened final demand from the U.S. and the EU, to which export slumped 22.1% and 14.1% in the first four months of 2023, respectively, the bank argued.

Vietnam’s credit growth was 9.2% in April, worse than 9.9% in March and 12.2% in February, amid the central bank’s policy and lending rate cuts in March, showing the economy’s weak absorption capacity, it highlighted.

The institution also warned although the inflation went down to 2.8% in April from 3.4% in March, the recent electricity price hike of 3% and upcoming public salary increase may impact inflation in the latter half of this year.

Registered foreign direct investment (FDI) capital declined 17.9% to $8.88 billion in the first four months of 2023. The WB atributed the underperformance to investors' cautions caused by global uncertainties.

Vietnam posted economic growth of 3.32% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to a year earlier, the General Statistics Office reported. The first quarter’s performance came amid current global economic headwinds, with the U.S. and European banking sectors facing a crisis of confidence, and significantly lower than the 5.92% growth rate reported in the last quarter of 2022.

The National Assembly set a target of GDP growth at 6.5% this year. Foreign institutions have projected Vietnam's growth in line with the figure.

Standard Chartered Bank lowered Vietnam’s 2023 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% from the previous 7.2% and got more cautious on the external front. The country’s April macro indicators show moderation, the global bank said in its latest macro-economic updates about Vietnam, a global production base.

Vietnam is likely to achieve GDP growth of 6.5% in 2023 and 6.6% in 2024, according to a report released by OECD in April. According to the OECD, the country's growth this year can be driven by growth in private consumption (6.3%), private gross fixed investment (6%), net exports’ contribution to GDP growth of 1.1 percentage points, and others.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country’s GDP growth might slow down to 5.8% in 2023 and then rebound to 6.9% in 2024, among the highest figures in Asia.

In its April edition of the “World Economic Outlook,” the IMF added that Vietnam’s GDP growth can reach 6.7% in 2028. The IMF stressed that global FDI is becoming more responsive to geopolitical factors, indicating that “FDI is increasing concentrated among countries that share similar geopolitical views.”

Comments (0)
  • Read More
AI, data platform investment unlocks huge opportunities to enhance customer experience: Masan CEO

AI, data platform investment unlocks huge opportunities to enhance customer experience: Masan CEO

Vietnam’s leading multi-sector conglomerate Masan Group has made strong investments in AI, big data, and integrated supply chains to improve its operational efficiency, optimize costs, and better serve Vietnam’s 100 million consumers, said CEO Danny Le.

Companies - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 6:51 pm GMT+7

HCMC poised to become Southeast Asia's innovation, financial hub following merger: experts

HCMC poised to become Southeast Asia's innovation, financial hub following merger: experts

Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam’s southern metropolis, is expected to establish itself as a hub for finance, manufacturing, trade, logistics, and innovation in Southeast Asia, after its merger with neighboring provinces.

Economy - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 1:56 pm GMT+7

PVI Insurance honored with prestigious international awards

PVI Insurance honored with prestigious international awards

2025 marks a proud milestone for PVI Insurance Corporation (PVI Insurance), as it has been consecutively recognized with prestigious accolades from top-tier institutions in the Asian insurance industry.

Companies - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 1:27 pm GMT+7

Green logistics a vital condition for Vietnam firms to flourish: exec

Green logistics a vital condition for Vietnam firms to flourish: exec

Green logistics is not just a long-term goal but a present-day opportunity for Vietnamese enterprises to advance amid the global transition toward sustainable development.

Companies - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 12:18 pm GMT+7

VNPT-VinaPhone, VNPT-Media to merge into parent company VNPT

VNPT-VinaPhone, VNPT-Media to merge into parent company VNPT

Telecommunication Services Corporation (VNPT-VinaPhone) and Communications Corporation (VNPT-Media) will be merged into their parent company, Vietnam Posts and Telecommunications Group (VNPT).

Companies - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 9:52 am GMT+7

Real estate major Kinh Bac gains majority control of Trump International Vietnam

Real estate major Kinh Bac gains majority control of Trump International Vietnam

Vietnamese developer Kinh Bac City Development Holding Corporation (HoSE: KBC) has expanded its portfolio to 19 subsidiaries following a new ownership move involving Trump International Vietnam.

Companies - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 8:41 am GMT+7

Sumitomo seeks to clear hurdles for industrial park expansion in northern Vietnam

Sumitomo seeks to clear hurdles for industrial park expansion in northern Vietnam

Japanese conglomerate Sumitomo has called on authorities in Hung Yen province to resolve several pressing issues affecting the expansion of Thang Long Industrial Park II (TLIP II), one of the largest industrial parks in northern Vietnam.

Industrial real estate - Sun, July 13, 2025 | 8:00 am GMT+7

Rixos debuts in Southeast Asia on Vietnam’s 'Pearl Island'

Rixos debuts in Southeast Asia on Vietnam’s 'Pearl Island'

A new chapter in travel is unfolding in Southeast Asia as Rixos Hotels, the world’s leading all-inclusive brand, prepares to unveil its first-ever resort in the region.

Travel - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 6:48 pm GMT+7

Vietnam’s biggest airport project ‘races to the finish line’

Vietnam’s biggest airport project ‘races to the finish line’

The Ministry of Construction has requested investors of the Long Thanh International Airport to complete the main route by August 2025 to facilitate trial operations of the passenger terminal and other components.

Infrastructure - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 6:19 pm GMT+7

Singapore's YCH Group eyes developing logistics center in southern Vietnam economic zone

Singapore's YCH Group eyes developing logistics center in southern Vietnam economic zone

Tay Ninh province has pledged full support to Singapore’s YCH Group in developing a logistics center within its Moc Bai Border Gate Economic Zone.

Industries - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 1:48 pm GMT+7

Vietnam PM asks US firms to sustain support for 'reasonable, detailed tariff pact'

Vietnam PM asks US firms to sustain support for 'reasonable, detailed tariff pact'

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh has called on U.S. businesses to continue supporting the Vietnamese government in dialogues with U.S. agencies to soon reach "a reasonable, detailed tariff agreement for individual products and product groups".

Economy - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 11:32 am GMT+7

Mergers of Vietnamese provinces unlock new property development opportunities

Mergers of Vietnamese provinces unlock new property development opportunities

The merging of Vietnamese localities is expected to create a strong "boost" for the real estate market as expanded planning space, synchronized infrastructure, and new land reserves are key factors driving the market's transformation.

Real Estate - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 11:00 am GMT+7

Measures proposed for Thailand to minimize US tariff impacts

Measures proposed for Thailand to minimize US tariff impacts

Financial and banking experts in Thailand have warned that the U.S.'s proposed 36% tariff on Thai goods is likely to severely undermine Thailand's export competitiveness.

Southeast Asia - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 9:06 am GMT+7

Chinese construction major PCG eyes $383 mln underwater tunnel project in northern Vietnam

Chinese construction major PCG eyes $383 mln underwater tunnel project in northern Vietnam

Pacific Construction Group (PCG), one of China’s leading construction firms, has expressed interest in developing a VND10 trillion ($383 million) underwater road tunnel in Quang Ninh, a coastal province in northern Vietnam.

Infrastructure - Sat, July 12, 2025 | 8:04 am GMT+7

Vingroup stocks pull VN-Index up for sixth consecutive session

Vingroup stocks pull VN-Index up for sixth consecutive session

VN-Index, which represents the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, on Friday increased for the sixth consecutive session thanks to large-cap stocks, with foreign investors continuing to strongly net buy.

Finance - Fri, July 11, 2025 | 7:20 pm GMT+7

Coca-Cola inaugurates largest-scale Vietnam factory in Tay Ninh province

Coca-Cola inaugurates largest-scale Vietnam factory in Tay Ninh province

Coca-Cola Beverages Vietnam on Friday inaugurated a $136 million factory in Tay Ninh province, the largest-scale among its four facilities in Vietnam.

Industries - Fri, July 11, 2025 | 5:27 pm GMT+7