Right time for stock investment as deposit interest rates hit historic low: brokers
Low deposit interest rates along with banks looking to pump money into the economy have benefitted the stock market in Vietnam, said leading Vietnamese brokers.
Deposit interest rates have continuously decreased over the past several months and are experiencing a sharp decline in the last month of 2023 to their lowest level in history.
The first shot in this wave came from giant Vietcombank. Its deposit interest rates have dropped to 2.4% per year for terms of less than three months and 4.8% per year for terms of one year or more.
Following Vietcombank, Techcombank has announced interest rates of 3.25% per year for terms of less than six months and 4.85% per year for terms of 12 months or more, applicable from December 4. Other large banks such as Agribank, BIDV and VietinBank have listed interest rates for terms of one year or more at 5.3%, equal to those during the 2020-2021 Covid-19 period.
Bui Nguyen Khoa, head of the Macro and Market Group at BIDV Securities Company (BSC), said that there are two factors that trigger cash flow into the stock market, including low deposit interest rates and banks pumping money into the economy. "Everything is supporting the flow of cheap money into the stock market," Khoa noted.
Theoretically, falling deposit interest rates are a driving force for cash to flow into other investment channels, including stocks. The lower the interest rates, the greater the need for loans and investments, he said.
In addition, credit growth this year has been low, and the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) and commercial banks are facing greater pressure to disburse. Banks have loosened lending conditions, and lending interest rates have also dropped to about 7-8% per year, making it easier for businesses and individuals to access credit.
Normally, Khoa said when businesses mobilize capital, they do not use it all immediately. In the context of low deposit interest rates, they can allocate money to other investment channels to optimize efficiency.
However, he warned that there are still some risks amid domestic and world economic uncertainties, so investors are opting for the savings channel as a safe haven despite low interest rates.
A report by FIDT JSC, operating in the field of investment consulting and asset management, stated that Vietnam's economy in November continued to recover on a large scale. Production activities recovered at a fast pace, increasing 3% month-on-month and recording seven consecutive gaining months, with motivation coming from cheap credit, public investment disbursement acceleration, and improved domestic consumption and export demand.
Foreign investment attraction slowed somewhat in November, but capital flows into production increased rapidly after Vietnam expanded diplomatic and economic relations with the U.S. On the other hand, inflation remains low, at 3.2-3.5% compared to the target of about 4.5%.
Regarding the global situation, the U.S. consumer price index in October continued to cool down with an increase of only 3.5% and 3% in the overall and core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price indexes, respectively, down from 3.7% and 3.4% recorded in September.
The U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was weaker than expected, showing that the U.S. economy is slowing down, anticipating an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at its meeting next March, said top Vietnamese broker Saigon Securities (SSI).
The U.S. dollar has also tended to decrease, easing the USD/VND exchange rate. At the end of November, the exchange rate was at VND24,650 per USD, an increase of 3.7% compared to the end of 2022.
Khoa said that the context is much different from last month, with lower risks. Accordingly, cash flow from the deposit channel can find other investment channels, first of all the stock market due to high liquidity, easy investment and more options.
A recent report by broker VNDirect also stated that this is the right time to invest in medium- and long-term in the stock market due to attractive market valuation in the context of low deposit interest rates and improving corporate profits from the fourth quarter.
This organization forecasts that the VN-Index, which represents the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE), will hover around 1,080-1,150 points in December and reach 1,400-1,450 points in 2024.
The VN-Index closed Tuesday at 1,115.97 points, down 0.4% from the previous session.
- Read More
Germany’s household product firm QuickPack to invest $32 mln in Vietnam
Germany’s QuickPack, a specialist for household goods and hygiene products, will invest €30 million ($31.8 million) in Vietnam’s Mekong Delta province of Long An.
Industries - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 4:24 pm GMT+7
Malaysian millionaire willing to invest in convicted Vietnamese tycoon’s property project: lawyers
Malaysian millionaire Vincent Tan has evinced investment interest in a residential project owned by convicted tycoon Truong My Lan, chairwoman of Van Thinh Phat Group, lawyers for the latter have disclosed.
Real Estate - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 4:17 pm GMT+7
‘Bottleneck of bottlenecks’ continues to dog Vietnam's property, infrastructure projects
Limited consultations between state agencies and the parliament’s primary focus on wording are issues with Vietnam’s legal framework adversely affecting property and infrastructure projects, say experts and corporate leaders.
Economy - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 3:40 pm GMT+7
President Xi Jinping hastens construction of 3 Vietnam-China rail routes
Chinese President Xi Jinping has called for more substantial cooperation between China and Vietnam, including the pacier implementation of three railway routes linking the two nations.
Infrastructure - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 3:08 pm GMT+7
Vietnam developers offer deferred principal payments, interest support to boost year-end sales
Vietnamese housing developers are offering several incentives including deferred principal payments and interest support to stimulate demand and boost liquidity as the year nears its end.
Real Estate - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 2:29 pm GMT+7
Australia's EQ Resources acquires TMG Group with Vietnam-based ferrotungsten factory
Australia-based EQ Resources Limited has acquired its fellow firm Tungsten Metals Group (TMG), which owns and operates the largest ferrotungsten (FeW) factory outside China.
Companies - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 11:00 am GMT+7
Techcom Securities becomes largest broker in Vietnam by capital base
Techcom Securities JSC (TCBS) has become the largest securities company in Vietnam by charter capital after finishing a rights offering last week.
Finance - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 9:11 am GMT+7
Vietnam airport operator ACV looks to better exploit non-aviation service potential: exec
Vietnam's airports operator ACV expects to earn $145 million from non-aviation services this year, accounting for around 18.83% of its total revenue, which is modest compared to other countries, said deputy general director Nguyen Duc Hung.
Companies - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 7:45 am GMT+7
The Investor to host seminar on removing legal bottlenecks for infrastructure, property investment
A seminar themed “Removing legal bottlenecks for infrastructure and property investment” will be organized by The Investor in Hanoi on Tuesday.
Companies - Tue, November 19, 2024 | 7:00 am GMT+7
Indonesia promises Asia-Pacific investors more incentives
Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto recently told the press that he will create more incentives and expand special economic zones (SEZs) so as to lure investors from Asia-Pacific.
Southeast Asia - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 11:01 pm GMT+7
Indonesia, Brazil enhance aviation cooperation
Indonesia's state-owned aircraft manufacturer, Dirgantara Indonesia (DI), and Brazilian aerospace company Embraer have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to expand collaboration in the commercial aviation sector.
Southeast Asia - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 11:00 pm GMT+7
Indonesia eyes to become member of BRICS
Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto has shown his country’s desire to become a member of the BRICS - the alliance of major emerging economies initiated by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa.
Southeast Asia - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 10:57 pm GMT+7
Former Party chief, chairman of Vinh Phuc province face disciplinary action
Vietnam’s Central Inspection Committee has proposed disciplining Pham Van Vong, former Party chief of Vinh Phuc, and Phung Quang Hung, former chairman of the northern province, for violations related to Phuc Son Group.
Politics - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 9:17 pm GMT+7
Shaping a waterway into a key shipping channel: Viconship gets dredging nod
A major dredging project will allow safer ship navigation and increased cargo transportation capacity on the Hai Phong shipping channel, thereby enhancing competitiveness of Vinconship’s port system, says the company.
Companies - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 7:08 pm GMT+7
Former assistant to State President appointed general director of state-owned financial firm HFIC
Truong Tuan Anh, an official at the State President Office and former assistant to a state president, has been appointed general director of Ho Chi Minh City Finance and Investment Stated-owned Company (HFIC).
Companies - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 5:35 pm GMT+7
MBBank’s takeover of weak OceanBank to have limited impact on its credit profile: Fitch
Military Commercial Joint Stock Bank's (MBBank) takeover of Ocean Commercial Bank Limited (OceanBank) will have limited financial impact on the former’s credit profile, Fitch Ratings said Monday.
Banking - Mon, November 18, 2024 | 5:06 pm GMT+7
- Consulting
-
Remove roadblocks to lure foreign investment into Vietnam: HSBC exec
-
Rethinking resilience: How typhoon Yagi redefines supply chain strategies in northern Vietnam
-
In trade and investment, ASEAN and China are better together
-
AI can be a game changer for Vietnam tourism
-
Investment opportunities in LNG-to-power projects in Vietnam
-
Pepper prices 2024: will the dream of 'black gold' repeat?