Vietnam’s rapid capital market reforms set to pay dividends in coming decades

By Gary Harron
Wed, October 8, 2025 | 8:28 pm GMT+7

The long-awaited upgrade of Vietnam’s equity markets, though with a condition, is a sign that the country’s rising global profile can withstand near-term challenges, writes Gary Harron, head of securities services at HSBC Vietnam.

Gary Harron, head of securities services at HSBC Vietnam. Photo courtesy of the bank.

Gary Harron, head of securities services at HSBC Vietnam. Photo courtesy of the bank.

The Vietnamese economy has defied naysayers, reaffirming its position as a standout performer across frontier and emerging markets, with GDP growth reported at 8.23% in Q3, the highest level since 2011 except for 2022 (14.38%) as the country started to emerge from the Covid-19 pandemic.

We are pleased to see index provider FTSE Russell, a unit of the London Stock Exchange Group, announced the long-awaited reclassification on October 7, after putting Vietnam on a watchlist since September 2018. The upgrade, effective from September 21, 2026, and subject to an interim review in March 2026 to determine whether enough progress has been made in enabling access to global brokers, essential to support index replication.

Recognition with real implications

The new status, though with a condition, places Vietnam two steps below the top-ranked “developed” category and recognizes years of coordinated efforts from the government, regulators and market participants.

In the six months since the last FTSE Russell report, we have observed consistent and strong engagement among the Vietnamese authorities, foreign investors and market participants to remove the final hurdles for the Secondary Emerging market upgrade. Looking forward, the authorities have published a plan to reach the MSCI Emerging market status by 2030, expected to unlock larger capital flows.

Such upgrades are not symbolic. They influence everything from how analysts and media frame a market to the asset allocation decisions of global investors. For Vietnam, shedding the frontier label brings both recognition and reassurance. It can profoundly reshape investors’ behaviour and confidence, altering the trajectory of its continued long-term economic development and reducing dependence on any single trading partner.

Rapid progress

Vietnam’s capital markets have advanced on multiple fronts, both in terms of quantitative and qualitative measures. Market capitalization and number of trading accounts has risen more than sevenfold over the past decade. The VN-Index is up by a third this year alone, surpassing its Covid-era highs, when optimism over Vietnam’s role in global supply chains was at its peak.

At HSBC, we have witnessed this growth firsthand, having supported market participants since the market’s inception 25 years ago. HSBC was the first foreign bank to receive a custody licence and today serves as custodian for about half of all foreign institutional investors in Vietnam. These investors, with their long-term perspective, have worked closely with policymakers to shape reforms in areas such as market access and corporate disclosure.

The Vietnamese authorities have been able to demonstrate to investors an ongoing willingness to listen to feedback and dynamically respond with clear and transparent plans, an example of this came with the State Bank of Vietnam issuing Circular 25.

This provided amendments and supplements to existing regulation, so the legal framework could better reflect international practices of foreign institutional investors. The alignment between different ministries and the speed at which this action took place in response to feedback should help deepen investor confidence in the commitment to deliver reform.

This reclassification will only boost reform momentum. Global investors with confidence in Vietnam’s future will continue to demand for greater alignment with international standards.

Keeping the development momentum

Vietnam’s stock market has come a long way – but it can go so much further. Greater participation from long-term institutional investors, such as pension funds, that play a large role in more developed markets, would provide more stability and enhance companies’ ability to access capital. So too would a deepening pool of retail investors.

It is encouraging to see in September this year the Ministry of Finance published ambitious plans on developing the investment fund industry and reshaping the investor base. This includes specific policy measures and action plans to support broader objectives of improving institutional participation through policy and legal framework enhancements, broader reaching public education initiatives and strengthening management and supervision of the market to ensure integrity.

Despite recent improvements in the IPO outlook, the stock market has yet to be as significant a source of corporate funding as its regional peers. According to the World Bank, the capital market lags behind similarly sized rivals, leaving Vietnam’s economy heavily reliant on bank credit.

According to HSBC Global Investment Research, bank lending to Vietnam’s private sector is more than double the stock market capitalization. This gap makes it an outlier among major ASEAN economies and leaves the economy more exposed to the impact of inflation and higher interest rates.

It is also encouraging to see coordinated capital market enhancements published in September to simplify the IPO and listing process, with important steps in administrative procedure reforms to enhance capital raising efficiency and protect investor rights in the securities market.

Reform momentum

Over the past year, reforms have addressed key obstacles to upgrade at pace. The State Securities Commission led the removal of the pre-funding requirement, streamlined market entry, upgraded trading infrastructure and mandated English-language disclosures for listed companies, aligned to their own disclosures and reporting in both languages.

Further reforms are underway, additional significant streamlining of account opening processes mandated and more being implemented. A proposal is already in place to improve global broker access per the FTSE assessment outcome and a central counterparty clearing mechanism is in development; market development and reform momentum is sustained.

The FTSE Russell upgrade marks an important milestone but is by no means the end goal, with action plans in progress to increase listings, support domestic institutions and of course, further market upgrades.

Looking forward

As its stock market marked its 25th anniversary in July, Vietnam had much to celebrate. Despite tariff-related turbulence across the region, its commitment to reform is clear. With continued strong policy support and the backing of global investors, the next 25 years promise even greater progress. Vietnam has proved doubters wrong before - and looks poised to do so again.

Comments (0)
  • Read More
Hai Phong city’s 220kV substation, transmission line ready for energization

Hai Phong city’s 220kV substation, transmission line ready for energization

The investor-level appraisal council of National Power Transmission Corporation (EVNNPT), a subsidiary of state utility Vietnam Electricity (EVN), on Tuesday agreed that the Gia Loc 220kV substation and its transmission line in Gia Loc commune, the northern city of Hai Phong meets the conditions for energization.

Companies - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 5:34 pm GMT+7

VN-Index hits all-time high following FTSE Russel's market status upgrade decision 

VN-Index hits all-time high following FTSE Russel's market status upgrade decision 

The VN-Index on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE) rose by 12.53 points to 1,697.83 at Wednesday’s close, a record high in the 25-year history of Vietnam's stock market.

Finance - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 4:22 pm GMT+7

Petrovietnam acquires $1 bln loan for Block B gas field, Block B-O Mon pipeline projects

Petrovietnam acquires $1 bln loan for Block B gas field, Block B-O Mon pipeline projects

State giant Petrovietnam has secured a $1 billion loan from Vietcombank to develop the Block B gas field and Block B-O Mon gas pipeline projects, under one of the largest credit contracts in Vietnam’s energy sector.

Banking - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 3:56 pm GMT+7

Hilton signs strategic partnership with Sun Group to develop 5 hotels in Vietnam

Hilton signs strategic partnership with Sun Group to develop 5 hotels in Vietnam

Hilton and Vietnamese real estate giant Sun Group have signed a strategic partnership to build five hotels with over 2,000 rooms in Quang Ninh province, Danang city, and Phu Quoc Island of An Giang province.

Real Estate - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 2:38 pm GMT+7

Vietnam’s benchmark VN-Index remains in red despite market status upgrade news

Vietnam’s benchmark VN-Index remains in red despite market status upgrade news

The VN-Index on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE) closed the Wednesday morning session at 1,683 points, down nearly 2 points from the previous day, despite news about FTSE Russel’s market status upgrade decision.

Finance - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 1:05 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's market status upgrade: VPS Securities JSC’s ideal timing

Vietnam's market status upgrade: VPS Securities JSC’s ideal timing

Vietnam’s stock market status upgrade can be seen as “ideal timing” for VPS Securities JSC, setting the stage for a success of its upcoming IPO. In the longer term, a stronger market will also be a powerful growth driver for the company.

Companies - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 12:00 pm GMT+7

Police to initiate legal proceedings against 550 salespersons tied to Vietnam's largest forex scam

Police to initiate legal proceedings against 550 salespersons tied to Vietnam's largest forex scam

Vietnamese police are set to launch legal proceedings against around 550 sales employees for their roles in the country’s largest-ever forex and securities fraud ring, allegedly run by Pho Duc Nam, better known as TikToker “Mr Pips”.

Society - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 8:59 am GMT+7

Vietnam’s leading port operator Gemadept raises $2.4 mln in latest ESOP issue

Vietnam’s leading port operator Gemadept raises $2.4 mln in latest ESOP issue

Port operator and logistics heavyweight Gemadept (HoSE: GMD) has completed its employee stock ownership plan (ESOP) issuance, mobilizing over VND63 billion ($2.4 million) for working capital.

Companies - Wed, October 8, 2025 | 8:50 am GMT+7

Malaysia to establish sovereign AI cloud

Malaysia to establish sovereign AI cloud

The Malaysia government will establish a sovereign AI cloud to ensure the country’s national AI capabilities are secure, sovereign and able to support government services as well as the country’s digital development.

Southeast Asia - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 8:31 pm GMT+7

DNSE issues $38 mln in public offering bonds to supplement margin lending capital

DNSE issues $38 mln in public offering bonds to supplement margin lending capital

DNSE Securities JSC has officially launched a bond issuance worth VND1 trillion ($37.94 million) to raise capital for margin lending and advance payment activities in the Vietnamese stock market.

Finance - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 5:17 pm GMT+7

Mid-Autumn Family Reunion Festival 2025 at Ciputra Hanoi

Mid-Autumn Family Reunion Festival 2025 at Ciputra Hanoi

Ciputra Hanoi celebrated the much-anticipated Mid-Autumn Family Reunion Festival 2025 on the evening of October 4, bringing together more than 9,000 residents, including 2,000 international residents and 7,000 Vietnamese residents from over 75 countries.

Companies - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 4:33 pm GMT+7

Central Vietnam hub invites Dutch firms to invest in airport, seaports

Central Vietnam hub invites Dutch firms to invest in airport, seaports

Danang authorities called for Dutch enterprises to explore investment opportunities in the city's airport and seaport projects during their working trip to the Netherlands from October 3-4.

Infrastructure - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 4:14 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's major insurer PVI shares typhoon response experience: Speed and sound solutions are key

Vietnam's major insurer PVI shares typhoon response experience: Speed and sound solutions are key

Experience from typhoon Yagi shows that speed and sound solutions are key to responding to major typhoons, underscoring PVI Insurance Corporation’s capacity to handle large-scale natural disaster losses and strengthening confidence among its clients and international partners.

Companies - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 1:18 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's FDI capital disbursement in Jan-Sept hits five-year high

Vietnam's FDI capital disbursement in Jan-Sept hits five-year high

Disbursed foreign direct investment (FDI) capital in Vietnam reached $18.8 billion in January-September, up 8.5% year-on-year and marking a record high for nine months in five years.

Economy - Tue, October 7, 2025 | 12:58 pm GMT+7