WB revises down Vietnam’s 2023 GDP growth forecast to 6%

By Tri Duc
Wed, June 7, 2023 | 4:07 pm GMT+7

The World Bank has cut its Vietnam’s GDP growth forecast this year to 6% in its June edition of “Global Economic Prospects,” but the figure remains among the highest in Asia, on par with the Philippines.

In January, the bank estimated Vietnam’s 2023 GDP growth at 6.3%.

Reviewing 2022 and early 2023, the WB said growth in Vietnam and some East Asia and Pacific countries had slowed around the turn of the year following a boost from earlier post-pandemic reopening. While consumption growth remained firm, goods trade decelerated before stabilizing, reflecting weak global demand and tepid activity in China, the bank noted.

This year, lackluster growth in global goods trade, a key engine in some East Asia and Pacific nations, is expected to weigh on Malaysia and Vietnam, according to the WB.

A corner of Hanoi, northern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of The Planet.

A corner of Hanoi, northern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of The Planet.

The WB’s latest projections indicate that the world economy will remain frail and at risk of a deeper downturn this year and next year. Global economic growth will slow from 3.1% in 2022 to 2.1% in 2023, and then rebound to 2.4% in 2024, it forecast. For emerging market and developing economies, except for China, growth is set to slow to 2.9% in 2023 from 4.1% in 2022.

According to the WB, the average growth of East Asia and the Pacific could reach 5.5% this year, with major economies such as India rising 6.3%, China 5.6%, Indonesia 4.9%, Malaysia 4.3%, and Thailand 3.9%.

Vietnam’s economic growth could accelerate to 6.2% and 6.5% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, to be among the top in Asia. East Asia and the Pacific’s figures are expected to fall to 4.6% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, the WB added.

Vietnam posted economic growth of 3.32% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to a year earlier, the General Statistics Office reported in March. The first quarter’s performance comes amid current global economic headwinds, with the U.S. and European banking sectors facing a crisis of confidence, and significantly lower than the 5.92% growth rate reported in the last quarter of 2022.

Standard Chartered Bank in May lowered Vietnam’s 2023 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% from the previous 7.2% and got more cautious on the external front.

In the same month, HSBC said it expected Vietnam’s economy to expand 5.2% this year. The forecast is lower than the International Monetary Fund's rate in mid-April. The IMF said Vietnam’s economic expansion might slow down to 5.8% this year and then rebound to 6.9% in 2024, among the highest figures in Asia.

Comments (0)
  • Read More
Vietnam aims to finalize negotiations for Ninh Thuan 1 nuclear power plant by August

Vietnam aims to finalize negotiations for Ninh Thuan 1 nuclear power plant by August

The Vietnamese government targets completing negotiations for Ninh Thuan 1 nuclear power plant in former Ninh Thuan province (now Khanh Hoa) by August 2025, and for Ninh Thuan 2 by May 2026 at the latest.

Energy - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 4:18 pm GMT+7

Software giant SAP invests $175 ml in R&D center in Vietnam

Software giant SAP invests $175 ml in R&D center in Vietnam

German software heavyweight SAP has officially launched a research & development center in Vietnam, with plans to invest more than €150 million ($175 million) over the next five years.

Industries - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 3:43 pm GMT+7

Carlsberg’s $130 mln plant expansion in central Vietnam set to start brewing next month

Carlsberg’s $130 mln plant expansion in central Vietnam set to start brewing next month

The expansion of Carlsberg’s brewery in Hue city, central Vietnam, with an investment of over VND3.4 trillion ($129.66 million), has entered trial runs and is scheduled to begin full production in September, Carlsberg Vietnam said.

Industries - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 2:43 pm GMT+7

Indonesia promotes nickel-based EV battery production

Indonesia promotes nickel-based EV battery production

Indonesia is advocating regulations to encourage electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers to switch from the commonly used lithium-based batteries to nickel-based ones.

Southeast Asia - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 1:54 pm GMT+7

BRICS countries account for over 35% of Malaysia’s total foreign trade turnover

BRICS countries account for over 35% of Malaysia’s total foreign trade turnover

Malaysia’s trade with BRICS nations climbed to RM818 billion ($193.47 billion) in 2024, making up 35.2% of the country’s total global trade, according to the Ministry of Investment, Trade and Industry (MITI).

Southeast Asia - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 1:52 pm GMT+7

Vietnam consumer finance major F88’s stock hits ceiling price on UPCoM debut

Vietnam consumer finance major F88’s stock hits ceiling price on UPCoM debut

The stock of F88 Investment JSC (F88), a leading consumer finance company in Vietnam, hit its ceiling price of VND888,800 ($34) on Friday, the first day of trading on the Unlisted Public Companies Market (UPCoM).

Companies - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 1:32 pm GMT+7

US tariff unlikely to dent Vietnam’s long-term FDI appeal: broker

US tariff unlikely to dent Vietnam’s long-term FDI appeal: broker

The U.S. tariff gap between Vietnamese goods and those from four other Southeast Asian countries would not erode Vietnam’s competitive edge in manufacturing and investment, said Hanoi-based Vietcombank Securities (VCBS).

Economy - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 12:24 pm GMT+7

Land clearance for Vietnam's North-South high-speed railway project to start on December 19

Land clearance for Vietnam's North-South high-speed railway project to start on December 19

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh has requested localities to start land clearance en masse for the gigantic North-South high-speed railway project on December 19.

Economy - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 11:52 am GMT+7

Vietnam might launch pilot digital asset exchange in August

Vietnam might launch pilot digital asset exchange in August

A digital asset exchange might be launched in August on a pilot basis, Deputy Minister of Finance Nguyen Duc Chi told a government press meeting on Thursday.

Finance - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 11:25 am GMT+7

Vietnam’s steel giant Hoa Sen spends $34 mln on land near Long Thanh airport for urban development

Vietnam’s steel giant Hoa Sen spends $34 mln on land near Long Thanh airport for urban development

Hoa Sen Group (HoSE: HSG), Vietnam’s top producer of coated steel products, has spent VND900 billion ($34.3 million) acquiring land for a major urban development project in the southern province of Dong Nai.

Real Estate - Fri, August 8, 2025 | 8:22 am GMT+7

Halal market presents major opportunities for Vietnamese businesses

Halal market presents major opportunities for Vietnamese businesses

The global Halal market is projected to reach $5 trillion by 2030, with Malaysia alone expected to hit $113.2 billion, said Shariza binti Abdul Rasheed, Halal product manager at Maybank Malaysia.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 9:18 pm GMT+7

Steel major Hoa Phat to pour extra $130 mln into central Vietnam plant

Steel major Hoa Phat to pour extra $130 mln into central Vietnam plant

Vietnam’s leading steelmaker, Hoa Phat Group (HoSE: HPG), will increase investment in its Dung Quat 2 iron and steel production complex by VND3.4 trillion ($129.7 million) as part of an expansion plan.

Industries - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 8:03 pm GMT+7

Vietnam’s army-backed construction firm proposes 14 offshore wind power projects

Vietnam’s army-backed construction firm proposes 14 offshore wind power projects

Lung Lo Construction Corporation (LLC), under the Ministry of National Defense, has submitted investment proposals for 14 offshore wind power projects with a combined capacity of 9,000 MW.

Energy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 5:07 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai fined for bond information disclosure failure

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai fined for bond information disclosure failure

Vietnam's agri major Hoang Anh Gia Lai JSC has been fined VND92.5 million ($3,528) for failing to disclose bond-related information as required by law.

Companies - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 4:31 pm GMT+7

Northern Vietnam province accelerates $2.2 bln LNG-to-power project

Northern Vietnam province accelerates $2.2 bln LNG-to-power project

Quang Ninh province will hand over 4.9 hectares of reclaimed land to the Quang Ninh LNG-fuelled power plant project before August 11, local authorities stated at a meeting on Wednesday.

Energy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 4:17 pm GMT+7

Vietnam's seafood firms ride profit wave ahead of US tariff hike

Vietnam's seafood firms ride profit wave ahead of US tariff hike

Vietnam’s seafood companies reported surging profits in Q2/2025, driven by importers ramping up purchases ahead of new U.S. reciprocal tariffs.

Economy - Thu, August 7, 2025 | 2:21 pm GMT+7