Vietnam 2023 economy to grow 7.2%: Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered Bank put its Vietnam GDP growth prediction at 7.2% for 2023 and 6.7% for 2024, following 8.02% in 2022.
Standard Chartered's 2023 forecast is higher than those of HSBC and Singapore’s United Overseas Bank, which are 5.8% and 6.62%, respectively.
"We still have conviction on Vietnam’s high growth potential over the medium term," Tim Leelahaphan, economist for Thailand and Vietnam at the bank, said in the report "Vietnam - Still enjoying high-growth status" released Friday.
"While macro indicators moderated somewhat in the fourth quarter of 2022, they remain largely robust. Retail sales posted solid growth in the second half of 2022, implying improved domestic activity," he added.

Exports is a major driving force of Vietnam's economy. Photo courtesy of VietnamNet newspaper.
Vietnam’s trade balance has tentatively improved; exports may face global headwinds; and imports are at risk of reversal. FDI disbursements have continued to increase, but the outlook hinges on the global economy. Inflation may pose a threat to Vietnam’s continued recovery, Standard Chartered commented in the report.
"Inflation in the country is anticipated to rise throughout 2023, potentially reaching 6% in the final months of the year and averaging 5.5% in both 2023 and 2024, from 3.2% in 2022," Standard Chartered said . "Vietnam’s fiscal deficit may persist and be a source of inflation."
The bank expected the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) to hike its interest rates by another one percentage point in this year’s first quarter and to stay on hold through the end of 2024.
Leelahaphan said, "We expect the central bank to stay vigilant against inflation, a weakening Vietnamese dong, and financial instability arising from risky loans in the real estate sector.
“The SBV may prefer a relatively strong Vietnamese dong, as long as it does not harm the country’s trade competitiveness.”
According to Leelahaphan, the Vietnamese currency has recovered sharply in recent weeks. However, the pace of its appreciation is likely to slow down, as several headwinds persist. The replenishment of Vietnam’s forex reserves is likely to be a key priority for its central bank. An improving current account backdrop and tourism recovery are likely to be supportive of the Vietnamese dong.
The USD/VND forex rate is forecast by Standard Chartered at 23,400 by the end of 2023 and 23,000 by the end of 2024.
In a report released Thursday, HSBC said it expects the SBV to slow its monetary tightening pace as the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to slow and forex volatility has eased, though the Fed’s hiking cycle would be still underway.
The bank predicted the SBV to raise its refinancing rate by 0.5 percentage points each in the first and second quarters of this year, taking the refinancing rate to 7.0% by mid-2023.
With last year’s 8.02% expansion, the highest in 12 years, Vietnam was one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies.
However, the high growth rate in 2022 is partly derived from the low growth base in the two pandemic years 2020-2021, at 2.91% and 2.58% respectively.
- Read More
Vietnam offers numerous advantages for Skoda Auto's investment: executive
Vietnam offers a range of advantages for investment by Czech automaker Skoda Auto, including its seaport system, logistics infrastructure, and skilled labor, the company’s chairman and CEO Klaus Zellmer said on Thursday.
Industries - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 7:33 pm GMT+7
Vietnam plans to cut import tax for LNG to 2%
Vietnam’s Ministry of Finance is drafting a decree on preferential import tax for some products, including a proposal of 2% tax rate for LNG.
Energy - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 4:31 pm GMT+7
AES’s $2.1 bln LNG power project needs solutions to meet deadline: Vietnam authorities
The 2,250-MW Son My 2 LNG-fired power project, invested by the U.S.'s AES and state-run Petrovietnam subsidiary PV Gas, “needs solutions” to meet its deadline.
Energy - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 4:06 pm GMT+7
Over $9 bln pledged for investment projects in central Vietnam province Binh Dinh
Binh Dinh province on Friday handed over MoUs on investment cooperation, in-principle approvals and investment registration certificates to 62 projects worth over VND231 trillion ($9.03 billion).
Industries - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 4:05 pm GMT+7
Vietnam's giant Vingroup eyes mullti-billion-dollar renewable, LNG power projects
Vietnam's leading private conglomerate Vingroup is seeking the government's permission to develop seven renewable energy projects worth $20-25 billion and a $5.5 billion LNG-fired power project from 2025-2030.
Energy - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 1:09 pm GMT+7
While the buzz around a market upgrade is back, who is this milestone for?
A key issue for the Vietnamese stock market is the underdevelopment of the institutional investor base. The dominance of retail investors can create heightened volatility, which, in turn, reduces the incentive for high-quality companies to list on the stock exchange, writes Gary Harron, head of securities services at HSBC Vietnam.
Consulting - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 10:31 am GMT+7
Vietnam's private lender VIB seeks strategic shareholders: chairman
Vietnam International Bank's (VIB) board of directors is now in discussions with banks and investment funds to find suitable partners for the lender, ensuring a mutually beneficial partnership that goes beyond finance.
Banking - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 8:31 am GMT+7
Vietnam tech giant FPT opens semiconductor R&D center in central Vietnam
Vietnam’s leading tech group FPT on Thursday inaugurated its high-tech and semiconductor R&D center at the Danang Software Park No. 2 in the central city of Danang.
Industries - Fri, March 28, 2025 | 8:00 am GMT+7
HCMC's international financial center development to be phased out: city leader
Ho Chi Minh City aims to become an international financial center, with related development plan divided into three phases, said Vo Van Hoan, its Vice Chairman.
Economy - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 11:11 pm GMT+7
Car producers in Thailand postpone export models
Car manufacturers in Thailand have decided to delay making some models for export due to U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariff policy.
Southeast Asia - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 10:17 pm GMT+7
Indonesia approves $7 bln budget for food security in 2025
Indonesia’s Ministry of Finance on Wednesday announced that the government has approved a budget of IRD118 trillion ($7.1 billion) for food security programs in 2025.
Southeast Asia - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 10:14 pm GMT+7
Honda Vietnam rolls out first domestically produced electric scooter
Honda Vietnam has officially launched its first domestically produced electric scooter, the ICON e:, marking a significant step in the company’s electrification and sustainable mobility strategy in Vietnam.
Southeast Asia - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 10:09 pm GMT+7
Vietnam's Quang Ngai seaport system requires over $420 mln investment by 2030
The seaport system in the central Vietnam province of Quang Ngai will need about VND10.83 trillion ($423.54 million) in investment by 2030, according to the detailed 2021-2030 development plan for local seaport land and water areas, with a vision to 2050.
Southeast Asia - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 10:06 pm GMT+7
Leading steelmaker Hoa Phat targets record revenue on partial operation of central Vietnam plant
Hoa Phat Group, Vietnam’s top steelmaker, targets a record-high revenue in 2025, driven by the expected partial operation of a steel and iron complex in the central region this year.
Companies - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 8:10 pm GMT+7
Offshore wind power developer CIP seeks long-term cooperation with Vietnam
Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP), a major Danish renewable energy developer, is seeking to reach long-term cooperation with Vietnamese businesses in the offshore wind power sector.
Energy - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 4:16 pm GMT+7
Vietnam giant VinFast moves to expand EV service in Philippines
VinFast, Vietnam’s largest electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has partnered with MGA.414 Corporation, the operator of the JIGA automotive service chain, to expand its EV service network in the Philippines.
Southeast Asia - Thu, March 27, 2025 | 3:48 pm GMT+7