Vietnam’s GDP growth outpaces regional peers, 6.5% in 2025: Oxford Economics
Vietnam’s GDP growth can reach 6.5% in 2025, continuing to outperform regional peers in the ASEAN-6 group, Oxford Economics said in a Monday report.
Oxford Economics noted that with a full-year growth likely at 6.7% this year, Vietnam has already been the region’s outperformer.
ASEAN-6 economic growth projection. Photo courtesy of Oxford Economics.
For 2025, Vietnam’s economic growth will be driven by the strong manufacturing sector, with contributions from machinery and textiles.
The country is a hub for assembling, packaging, and testing chips, and the chip-led tailwind will continue next year, though the boost will be weaker than in 2024. Oxford Economics expects some “softness” in the near-term.
The domestic sector outlook remains bright. Solid wage growth, driven by FDI job creation, should support private consumption. With the number of operating enterprises still growing in annual terms, asset accumulation will likely be stronger in 2025, it predicted.
A corner of Hanoi. Photo courtesy of Vietnam News Agency.
However, FDI inflows may see a temporary slowdown in early 2025 while awaiting possible U.S. tariff announcements against Vietnam. Upside risks are present, with a possible boost from the front-loading of orders driven by U.S. tariff fears, Oxford Economics stressed.
The organization expects credit growth should be better in 2025. Recent changes to credit controls and a better domestic business sector should provide some support to credit growth. However, the drag from real estate will likely last until end-2025, and offloading bad debt will take some time.
Oxford Economics' projection is similar to prediction of many agencies.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) revised up Vietnam’s GDP growth to 6.4% in 2024 and 6.6% in 2025, according to the December edition of its Asian Development Outlook (ADO) released last week.
VinaCapital, among the biggest foreign-run asset managers in Vietnam, has forecast the country’s economy to achieve 6.5% growth in both 2024 and 2025.
Standard Chartered expects Vietnam will record strong GDP growth of 6.7% in 2025, with growth easing from 7.5% year-on-year in the first half to 6.1% in the second half.
Vietnam targets a GDP growth of 7% in 2024 and 8% in 2025, in order to prepare for an annual growth beyond 10% in 2026-2030, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh said.
- Related News
- Read More
Vietnam forecast to become world’s second-largest rice importer by 2025-2026
Vietnam is projected to become the world’s second-largest rice importer in 2025-2026, only after the Philippines, as the country must ramp up imports to meet export demand amid falls in domestic production, according to the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, released by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).
Southeast Asia - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 11:36 pm GMT+7
The Trump Organization gets okay for $1.5 bln property project in northern Vietnam
A $1.5 billion golf, eco-tourism and urban complex proposed by a joint venture between Hung Yen Investment and Development Group and IDG Capital, which represents The Trump Organization, has received in-principle approval from the Vietnamese Government.
Real Estate - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 10:46 pm GMT+7
Vietnam's leading developer Becamex seeks to become billion-dollar company
Becamex, a leading industrial real estate developer in Vietnam, is strongly restructuring itself, attracting more private investment capital, and reducing state ownership, with an aim to become a billion-dollar company.
Companies - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 5:10 pm GMT+7
S Korea's Hanwha Energy eyes more LNG power projects in Vietnam
Hanwha Energy is keen to invest in more LNG-to-power projects in Vietnam, vice president Kim Young-Wook said in a meeting with the country's Ministry of Industry and Trade on Thursday.
Energy - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 3:32 pm GMT+7
Vietnam, Thailand elevate relations to comprehensive strategic partnership
Vietnam and Thailand have upgraded their relations from a strategic partnership, established in 2013, to a comprehensive strategic partnership.
Politics - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 12:44 pm GMT+7
Vietnam, China firms partner to develop pumped storage hydropower in Vietnam
Vietnam's Power Generation Corporation 2 (EVNGENCO2) and China's Lancang-Mekong International Company Limited (CSG-LMI) have signed an MoU on cooperation to develop pumped storage hydropower projects in Vietnam.
Companies - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 12:27 pm GMT+7
Vietnam market rebound in May: Leading stocks begin to rally
A new wave of stock market gains appears to be forming in Vietnam, opening up promising investment opportunities for both institutional and retail investors.
Finance - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 11:12 am GMT+7
Malaysia's TNB proposes partnership with Vietnam's EVN in connecting regional power grids
TNB, Malaysia's largest utility, has proposed Vietnam's state-owned utility EVN to cooperate in building a power transmission network connecting countries, including a line between Malaysia and Vietnam, via land and sea.
Energy - Fri, May 16, 2025 | 8:17 am GMT+7
New Vietnam-China int'l road transport route opens
Convoys carrying electronic components, fresh vegetables, and daily necessities departed simultaneously from Nanning in south China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Kunming in southwest China's Yunnan province on Wednesday morning, heading for Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam.
Southeast Asia - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 10:34 pm GMT+7
Indonesia’s rice reserve set to hit record 4 mln tons
Indonesia’s rice reserves are on track to surpass 4 million tons, setting an all-time high after reaching a new record of 3.7 million tons in mid-May.
Southeast Asia - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 10:24 pm GMT+7
China's giant Huadian Group eyes enlarging renewable energy portfolio in Vietnam
Huadian Group, a wholly state-owned company of China, is keen to further invest in Vietnam’s renewable energy sector.
Energy - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 9:40 pm GMT+7
Vietnam’s macroeconomic indicators 'broadly positive': Dragon Capital
Vietnam's macroeconomic indicators remained broadly positive, with both trade and FDI attraction performing well in the first four months of the year, write Dragon Capital analysts.
Economy - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 5:47 pm GMT+7
'How many new jobs created’ should be new KPI for local governments: VCCI leader
With a shift in thinking about the role of the private sector, local governments may soon prioritize creation of new jobs and businesses over traditional growth metrics, according to Dau Anh Tuan, deputy secretary-general of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI).
Economy - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 5:23 pm GMT+7
Herbalife’s Vietnam earnings hit $75.4 mln in Q1, exceed China tally
Herbalife, a global multi-level marketing corporation selling dietary supplements, recorded $75.4 million in net sales in Vietnam in the first quarter of 2025, according to the firm’s report.
Companies - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 5:01 pm GMT+7
Japan’s Nitto Denko to quadruple northern Vietnam plant's production capacity
Nitto Vietnam, a subsidiary of Japan’s multi-sector corporation Nitto Denko, has decided to raise the investment in its Hung Yen province-based plant by $28 million to $160 million.
Investing - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 3:58 pm GMT+7
UAE Embassy, VAFIE to jointly strengthen Vietnam-UAE business connections
The Embassy of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in Hanoi and the Vietnam's Association of Foreign Invested Enterprises (VAFIE) on Wednesday agreed to jointly deploy specific measures to lift trade and investment ties between the two countries.
Companies - Thu, May 15, 2025 | 2:37 pm GMT+7
