StanChart lifts Vietnam’s 2024 GDP growth forecast to 6.8%
Standard Chartered Bank has revised up its forecast for Vietnam’s 2024 GDP growth to 6.8% from the previous 6.0%, reflecting the stronger-than-expected Q3 expansion.
For Q4, growth is expected to moderate to 6.9%, the British multinational bank said in its recent macro-economic updates about Vietnam.
Quy Nhon port in Binh Dinh province, south-central Vietnam. Photo courtesy of Quy Nhon port.
According to government data, Vietnam’s GDP grew by a higher-than-expected 7.4% in Q3 despite the devastating typhoon Yagi, resulting in January-September growth of 6.82%.
The bank retains its 2025 forecast at 6.7%, with projected growth of 7.5% year-on-year in H1 and 6.1% year-on-year in H2.
According to Standard Chartered’s economists, Vietnam’s economic growth momentum has been relatively strong, with improvement across multiple sectors, including imports and exports, retail sales, real estate, tourism, construction, and manufacturing.
Trade recovery, increased business activity, and foreign investment will be sources of growth in 2025 and beyond, they added.
Tim Leelahaphan, economist for Thailand and Vietnam, Standard Chartered Bank, said: “While we remain cautious on Vietnam’s economy near-term, we also acknowledge the economy’s ability to perform better than market expectations.
“The government’s push for stronger economic growth may help maintain low interest rates in the near future, and Fed moves will also be key to the State Bank of Vietnam’s monetary policy decisions. We now expect a 50-basis point rate hike next year, rather than in Q4/2024 as previously anticipated,” added the economist.
Standard Chartered forecasts Fed rate cuts, which should lead to a softer USD bias over the next few quarters, will result in a USD/VND exchange rate at 24,500 by the end of 2024 and 24,300 by mid-2025.
Standard Chartered has been the latest international institution to raise its growth forecast for Vietnam, after HSBC, Singapore-headquartered United Overseas Bank (UOB), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and market intelligence company S&P Global.
- Related News
- Read More
Vietnam banking, retail, oil stocks well placed for market recovery: brokerages
Vietnamese banking, retail and oil-gas stocks are among the sectors best positioned to benefit from a potential market recovery after months of pressure from geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic headwinds, according to local brokerages.
Finance - Tue, June 16, 2026 | 1:04 pm GMT+7
Petrovietnam, Huawei discuss cooperation in digital transformation, AI, energy technologies
State-owned Petrovietnam and China's Huawei Technologies discussed potential cooperation in digital transformation, artificial intelligence and digital energy infrastructure during a meeting last week, as the Vietnamese giant seeks to modernize its operations and expand into new energy sectors.
Companies - Tue, June 16, 2026 | 12:20 pm GMT+7
Over 38% of Vietnamese businesses still face informal costs despite reforms: survey
More than 38% of businesses in Vietnam still pay informal charges, highlighting persistent gaps between regulatory reforms and their implementation, according to a survey by the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI).
Economy - Tue, June 16, 2026 | 11:26 am GMT+7
China ready to expand railway, power connectivity with Vietnam: PM
China is prepared to strengthen railway cooperation and enhance power grid connectivity with Vietnam, thereby expanding logistics corridors, trade links, and energy cooperation, said Chinese Premier Li Qiang during a phone talk with his Vietnamese counterpart Le Minh Hung on Monday.
Economy - Tue, June 16, 2026 | 8:52 am GMT+7
VN-Index approaches 1,800-point mark as easing Middle East tensions lift sentiment
Vietnam's benchmark VN-Index edged closer to the 1,800-point threshold on Monday as improving sentiment over easing tensions in the Middle East boosted risk appetite, driving gains in brokerage stocks while oil and Vingroup-related stocks weighed on the market.
Finance - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 8:34 pm GMT+7
Japanese products dominate Vietnamese consumer trust, but younger shoppers rewriting rules
Japanese products continue to enjoy the highest level of trust among Vietnamese consumers, reinforcing the country’s position as the benchmark for quality and reliability in one of Southeast Asia’s fastest-growing consumer markets, according to a new survey by market research firm Q&Me.
Economy - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 6:48 pm GMT+7
VinEnergo ramps up renewable energy push with 4 new subsidiaries
VinEnergo, the energy arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup, has accelerated its expansion into the power sector, establishing four new subsidiaries within a week as it builds a growing portfolio of renewable energy and infrastructure projects across Vietnam.
Companies - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 4:52 pm GMT+7
Thaco deepens ties with Hyundai Rotem to localize railway manufacturing in Vietnam
Vietnamese conglomerate Thaco and South Korea’s Hyundai Rotem have signed a detailed technology transfer and localization agreement for railway rolling stock production.
Industries - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 4:01 pm GMT+7
UOB Vietnam appoints Pham Hong Hai as deputy country CEO
Singapore's United Overseas Bank (Vietnam) Limited on Monday appointed Pham Hong Hai, former CEO of HSBC Vietnam and later Vietnamese bank OCB, as deputy country CEO, effective immediately.
Banking - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 2:26 pm GMT+7
Shinhan Bank Vietnam launches AI translation desk, strengthening customer experience, digital innovation
Shinhan Bank Vietnam has officially launched AI Translation Desk, an AI-powered interpretation solution designed to help foreign customers communicate more easily while using banking services in Vietnam.
Banking - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 12:03 pm GMT+7
FDI listings a missing piece in Vietnam's stock market development
As Vietnam's stock market moves closer to its long-awaited upgrade to secondary emerging market status and seeks to attract higher-quality capital, allowing more foreign-invested companies to list on domestic exchanges could broaden the pool of investable assets and support the next phase of capital market development.
Finance - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 11:14 am GMT+7
Chinese robot 'eyes' manufacturer builds 10-hectare factory in northern Vietnam
Orbbec Inc., a Chinese company specializing in 3D vision sensors and robotic hardware, is building an over-10-hectare manufacturing center in the northern province of Bac Ninh to serve international markets.
Industries - Mon, June 15, 2026 | 8:00 am GMT+7
Long Thanh airport project faces shortage of 2,000 workers
The Long Thanh International Airport project in the southern province of Dong Nai is still short nearly 2,000 workers compared to actual requirements during its final acceleration phase.
Infrastructure - Sun, June 14, 2026 | 6:08 pm GMT+7
Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical Complex turns profitable in Q1 on full-capacity operations
Operating at full capacity, the Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical Complex in Vietnam's central province of Thanh Hoa reported its first profit in Q1/2026, marking a significant turnaround after years of losses.
Economy - Sun, June 14, 2026 | 2:45 pm GMT+7
Industrials, technology top Vietnamese sectors in M&A transaction volume
Vietnam’s M&A market recorded 24 transactions in May, with industrials, technology and healthcare sectors being the most active sectors in terms of transaction volume, writes Grant Thornton analysts.
Consulting - Sun, June 14, 2026 | 9:00 am GMT+7
Top Vietnamese garment maker Vinatex's H1 profit rises 14%, weak order visibility clouds outlook
Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group (UPCoM: VGT) reported consolidated profit growth of 14.4% in the first half of 2026, driven by a strong recovery in its yarn business, even as weakening global demand and uncertainty over U.S. trade policy cast a shadow over the sector’s outlook.
Companies - Sun, June 14, 2026 | 8:00 am GMT+7
